Middle East tensions escalate and oil prices surge: Bitcoin'

2026-10-27 01:09 · 3 sources

This channel focuses on cryptocurrency and US stock market analysis, with a style that combines technical analysis with macro narratives, and often provides specific entry, take-profit, and stop-loss levels. Recent areas of focus include swing trading Bitcoin between the 80K support and 84K resistance, ZEC's rebound after a pullback with staged take-profits, the impact of Middle East tensions on oil prices and the market, the uncertainty surrounding the US midterm elections and the Fed's interest rate decision, and valuation analysis of stocks such as Google. The overall stance is long-term bullish but emphasizes staged position building, position sizing control, and strict stop-losses.

**Overall bias**: Long-term bullish but emphasizing staged entries and position control

Opinion timeline (past 7 days)

• **2026-10-20** AI stocks account for nearly half of the S&P 500, concentration reaching dot-com bubble levels: JPMorgan data shows 41 AI-related stocks making up about 49% of S&P 500 market cap, higher than the 41% during the 2000 dot-com bubble. The blogger believes high concentration is a yellow-flag signal, chip and storage sectors need caution, and recommends allocating defensive stocks to diversify risk.
• **2026-10-20** ZEC down 40% — suggested staged spot entries; BTC short-term short at 84K: ZEC has pulled back about 40% from its high, approaching a key support level. The blogger suggests buying spot in 3 tranches with position size not exceeding 10%, and also published a Bitcoin short strategy at 83.9K–84.4K, while remaining bullish on the major trend.
• **2026-10-21** SpaceX earnings far exceed expectations, SI business revenue surges 830% in a single quarter: SpaceX reported single-quarter net profit of $4.4 billion, Super Intelligence business revenue of nearly $7.6 billion, up 830% year-over-year, and Starlink revenue of $5.2 billion, up 69%. SPCX rose nearly 10% in a single day; the blogger had previewed the earnings beforehand.
• **2026-10-21** ZEC surges 10% in one day; suggested take-profit at 1300 and watch 1450 resistance: ZEC rebounded 10% in one day. The blogger noted minor resistance at 1300 and strong resistance around 1450, suggesting taking profit on part of high-leverage positions, and would consider flipping to short if it rises to 1450. Bitcoin tests the 84K resistance for the fourth time.
• **2026-10-22** US evacuates citizens from Middle East, deploys more warships; Bitcoin breaks below 80K support: The US is evacuating citizens from the Middle East with multiple warships assembling; the Nasdaq fell 1.8% pre-market and Bitcoin plunged 2,000 points. The blogger believes 75K–80K is a dense support zone, suggesting attempting a rebound trade at 80K, with a further look at 78K if it breaks down.
• **2026-10-23** Nasdaq plunges 3%, Meta's capital expenditure drags on tech stocks, Buffett's moves draw attention: The S&P fell 1.21%, its worst since July, Meta dropped nearly 7% on raising AI capital expenditure, and Brent crude surged to $113. Berkshire's cash and short-term bonds stand at $365.5 billion but were reduced for the first time in 3 years, drawing market attention.
• **2026-10-24** Crude oil near short-term top of 105–110; suggested staged BTC longs at 80K/78K: The blogger analyzes that crude oil is in an Elliott Wave five-wave pattern approaching a short-term top, after which crypto and US stocks are expected to rebound. BTC has had multiple successful longs near 80K; the new strategy is to go long at 78K–78.5K with a stop-loss at 77.5K.
• **2026-10-26** Google down 25% from its high to the 315 support; suggested staged bottom-fishing between 300–320: Google has fallen 25% from 408 to near the key support at 315. The blogger believes this offers better value than bottom-fishing the index, drawing an analogy to Microsoft's earlier script of a 30% rebound after being unfairly sold off. The first tranche has been entered, with plans to buy another 2–3 times on dips.

Sources (on-site messages)

• [10-20 07:20 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1353374726063525999&message_id=1562002680799428619)
• [10-20 07:21 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1353374726063525999&message_id=1562002721391902832)
• [10-20 11:34 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1353374726063525999&message_id=1562066377878278184)
• [10-20 14:41 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1353374726063525999&message_id=1562113504230641695)
• [10-20 14:42 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1353374726063525999&message_id=1562113873639645235)
• [10-20 14:43 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1353374726063525999&message_id=1562114045748842517)
• [10-20 14:47 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1353374726063525999&message_id=1562115124477558925)
• [10-21 07:19 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1353374726063525999&message_id=1562364788338724915)
• [10-21 09:32 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1353374726063525999&message_id=1562398143759384637)
• [10-21 13:13 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1353374726063525999&message_id=1562453873124442183)
• [10-21 13:13 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1353374726063525999&message_id=1562453877058441318)
• [10-22 06:23 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1353374726063525999&message_id=1562713099633692683)