BTC pulled back after a false breakout at 84300, with the 81

2026-10-27 01:18 · 3 sources

BTCETH

「大镖客」channel focuses on BTC daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour short-term technical analysis, qualifying the market around necklines, trend lines, moving averages, MACD/KDJ, open interest and volume changes, and clearly listing core key levels, long/short dividing lines, and resistance and support. In addition to morning and evening market tone briefs, it also publishes directional signals with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels, and repeatedly reminds followers to lock in profits, trail stop-losses, and control position size. Recent focus has been on the pullback after the false breakout around 84300, support at 81100 and 80900, and the rise or fall of the daily 60-day moving average; it has also mentioned external factors such as the decline in U.S. stocks and Trump's remarks. Overall style is objective and leans neutral, emphasizing risk control.

**Overall bias**: Range-bound and neutral, emphasizing risk control and stop-losses

Viewpoint timeline for the past 7 days

• **2026-10-20** Pullback to 81100 holds, 84300 area is the upper bound of the range: during the day the price pulled back to 81100 and recovered, the 4-hour reclaimed the short EMA channel, and the MACD fast line returned above the zero line; in the evening it surged to 83420 but was rejected, pointing out that open interest decreased during the rally and chasing strength was relatively weak.
• **2026-10-21** The 1-hour recovered the false breakout, rebounding above the 8400-84300 area: if the 4-hour close holds above 84300, the breakout stands; with the 1-hour above 84875, first look at 85500, then 87200; also noted that the 1-hour bearish cross has small momentum bars, so shorts should consider a real exit.
• **2026-10-22** False breakout at 84300, three 4-hour bearish candles erased the gains: the 4-hour stood above 84340 for only two candles before giving it back, followed by three bearish candles retracing most of the gains since the evening of October 20; the 1-hour and 4-hour MACD formed a bearish cross above the zero line, with a low of 81260 still above 81100.
• **2026-10-23** Broke below 81100 then recovered, first take-profit on the long hit: in the early hours it broke below 81100 but the 1-hour close recovered it, and the daily 60-day moving average at 81200 held; published a long at 81100-79700, flagged the first take-profit and prompted to lock in profits, while reminding that U.S. stocks fell sharply and not to increase position size.
• **2026-10-24** Daily closed below the 60-day moving average for the first time in two months: the 1-hour consolidation between 80900-82000 broke down, and the daily MACD fast line fell below the zero line; but volume expanded on the breakdown while open interest did not expand, and the 4-hour left a long lower shadow, so 80600 and 79800 still have support, and this is not being viewed as a one-sided crash.
• **2026-10-25** Short entered at 80600-81100, stop-loss set at 81500: gave a short direction signal with stop-loss 81500 and take-profits at 80000-79300-78600, calling the short aggressive but with a small stop-loss; followed up by noting a maximum profit of 600 points and asking whether an Ethereum position was opened in sync.
• **2026-10-26** Short profit of 1300 points, switching to an ETH short: noted the first take-profit hit, profit of 1300 points, take care to protect profits; published an ETH short entered at 2315-2335, stop-loss 2355, take-profits at 2295-2275-2255, and explained that 80100/80600 are short-term watch points.

Watchlist

BTC, ETH

Sources (on-site messages)

• [10-20 00:35 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963304155254805&message_id=1561900521143537736)
• [10-20 00:35 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963304155254805&message_id=1561900697279012885)
• [10-20 01:00 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963304155254805&message_id=1561907026366300321)
• [10-20 01:00 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963304155254805&message_id=1561907030787104840)
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• [10-20 03:28 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963304155254805&message_id=1561944245928198155)
• [10-20 09:48 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963304155254805&message_id=1562039691774263358)
• [10-20 10:04 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963304155254805&message_id=1562043857481236484)
• [10-20 10:12 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963304155254805&message_id=1562045770574860309)
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About this channel

The 「大镖客教学频道」 is the on-site channel archive page for 「大镖客」. This page compiles the key points of the channel's public statements over the past 7 days, making it easy to trace changes in its viewpoints.