Repeated Analysis of the Wave 2 ABC Structure: Bitcoin Comma

2026-10-27 02:16 · 2 sources

「比特币军长」is a crypto market call-out and technical review channel focused primarily on Bitcoin and Ethereum, with coverage of altcoins such as ATOM, ALT, PEPE, POL, FET, QNT and TAO, alongside medium- to long-term alerts on US stocks CRCL and MP. The analysis centers on wave structure, breaking down the current choppy market by large Wave 2 and ABC, Wave B, and Wave C (including 12345 sub-waves). He publishes a daily video review with specific entry, stop-loss, take-profit levels and leverage suggestions. Over the past 7 days he has repeatedly flipped between long and short, with short holding periods, while also laying out multiple scenarios for how Wave 2 may unfold, stressing stop-loss discipline and position-adding expectations, with his views adjusting quickly to changes in the market structure.

**Overall leaning**: Flexible swing trading, with emphasis on stop-losses

Timeline of views over the past 7 days

• **2026-10-19** All longs take profit and exit, shifting to standing aside: advised that apart from PONS being kept with a stop-loss at 0.2450, all Bitcoin, Ethereum and other long positions were closed in profit or dumped; disclosed a 21.77% loss on STRK and a 5.33% gain on ALT, and said the detailed structure of Wave 2 was unclear, so he was stepping aside to observe first.
• **2026-10-20** Re-entered longs, raised stop-losses, then took profit: opened Bitcoin and Ethereum longs in the morning session with stop-losses at 80500 and 2330, closed them mid-session because the market was too weak, raised the stop-losses to 81200 and 2380 at one point, described himself as under psychological pressure from the intraday chop, and took profit on the longs in the evening.
• **2026-10-21** Switched to shorts, worried the B-wave rebound was ending: said he was worried the Bitcoin B-wave rebound was ending nearby and stood aside first; evening Bitcoin and Ethereum shorts were stopped out at 85400 and 2520; at the US market open he sold CRCL and bought MP at the current price for a medium- to long-term position, posting a structural analysis chart.
• **2026-10-22** Shorts take profit, judgment that a C-wave decline had begun: closed the shorts in profit and said he would short again if price rallied back up; in the video he said the large Wave 2 pullback was unfolding in an ABC structure and was currently in the C-wave decline, with the C wave expected to trace 5 waves, waiting for the Wave 2 rebound to then short the third wave.
• **2026-10-23** Listed two scenarios for Wave 2, opened shorts and set up longs: opened a Bitcoin short with a stop-loss at 81500, said the Wave 2 rebound was insufficient in magnitude, laid out a flat/regular triangle scenario and an extreme-market scenario, noting that a return to 81500 would make the first scenario more likely; also opened longs on ATOM, ALT and PEPE with stop-losses or 5x leverage.
• **2026-10-24** Closed shorts and flipped long, opened longs across multiple coins: on the grounds that the weekend could play out Scenario 1, he closed the Bitcoin short, then opened Bitcoin and Ethereum longs at 10x leverage expecting to add one more position; also opened a long on POL, set stop-losses on ALT and PEPE, and said in the video that the b wave still lacked one more push higher.
• **2026-10-25** No market movement, video updates paused: the channel noted there was no volatility that day and no video update, with holdings unchanged from the previous day's Bitcoin, Ethereum and other longs, overall in a state of waiting for the market to confirm direction.
• **2026-10-26** Full book of longs described as agonizing, new medium- to long-term positions opened: described himself as full of long positions and beaten up by the chop; suggested opening medium- to long-term longs on QNT and TAO with leverage no higher than 5x, and made clear that only positions not already held should be opened — no adding to existing ones.

Sources (on-site messages)

• [10-19 22:46 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963413454360747&message_id=1561873269328576593)
• [10-19 23:00 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963413454360747&message_id=1561876660939260070)
• [10-19 23:01 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963413454360747&message_id=1561876871606702081)
• [10-19 23:03 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963413454360747&message_id=1561877362868617390)
• [10-20 01:26 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963413454360747&message_id=1561913382737805386)
• [10-20 01:26 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963413454360747&message_id=1561913539264778321)
• [10-20 11:20 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963413454360747&message_id=1562062947168288883)
• [10-20 12:18 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963413454360747&message_id=1562077645045244016)
• [10-20 12:19 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963413454360747&message_id=1562077811504578631)
• [10-20 13:58 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963413454360747&message_id=1562102705147744286)
• [10-20 14:16 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963413454360747&message_id=1562107245469368441)
• [10-20 22:49 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1360963413454360747&message_id=1562236462756397067)

About this channel

The 「比特币军长 Teaching Channel」 is the on-site archive page for 「比特币军长」. This page compiles the key points of the channel's public statements over the past 7 days, making it easy to trace how its views have changed.