币圈所长 Signal Performance and Win Rate Statistics | BTCSOS
「币圈所长」 channel focuses on technical analysis, mainly issuing specific-level futures trading signals around BTC and ETH, with each signal accompanied by a stop-loss level and tiered take-profit levels. It also covers spot positioning in altcoins such as ZEC and weekend wick-spike pending-order strategies. The analysis style combines candlestick patterns (bat, shark, pin-top three-peak shape, triangle convergence, etc.) with multi-timeframe moving average readings, and regularly outputs macro-view content, incorporating the US midterm elections, Middle East military deployments, the size of US debt, crude oil trends and USD liquidity into the market assessment framework. The recent focus has shifted from buying rebounds early in the week toward a range-bound, bearish-leaning approach, with emphasis on building positions in batches, spreading entry levels and risk control.
**Overall bias**: Flexible on both long and short sides, emphasizing risk-control timing
7-Day View Timeline
- **2026-10-20** BTC long on rebound near 80300, watch ZEC trendline breakout: The host gave a BTC rebound long near 80300 with a four-tier take-profit plan, while noting that if ZEC breaks the downtrend line on the four-hour chart, upside may be worth watching; he stressed not chasing longs before the four-hour candle closes, and waiting for a pullback before entering.
- **2026-10-21** ZEC breakout confirmed, spot positioning suggested, BTC tests 84900: After a single bullish candle pushed ZEC through multiple moving averages and confirmed the breakout, he suggested buying spot in moderation with targets of 1370-1550; ETH spot targets were set at 2515-2600. BTC approached the 84900 resistance intraday, and the host warned it was not suitable for chasing longs; the long position hit its first take-profit level.
- **2026-10-22** BTC longs rejected at 84900, rebound lacks strength: The host again gave a BTC rebound long near 83050, but the market failed to rebound effectively all day, with the 84900 resistance continuing to suppress price; he warned that if the close fell below the key level a stop-loss was needed and the long position could not be held.
- **2026-10-23** BTC closes bearish below 81500, shifting to shorting on rebound: BTC's daily candle closed bearish below 81500, raising concerns about an M-top developing, with a potential target at the 76400 bullish shark pattern; combining analysis of the midterm elections and the Middle East situation, the host reminded followers to favor a rally-suppression approach recently and gave a short near 82900.
- **2026-10-24** Quiet weekend market, altcoin wick-spike pending order strategy: With no clear weekend trend, the host suggested using small positions with pending orders to catch pin wicks, giving wick-spike levels of KAT at 0.0062, LA at 0.085, ZORA at 0.00846 and BMT at 0.0627, with take-profit on a quick pullback after being filled.
- **2026-10-25** ETH short at 2430 signal, small crude oil short: The host gave an ETH short near 2430, with a stop-loss on the hourly candle holding above 2460 and take-profit at 2395-2315; given the quiet market he also issued a small-position crude oil CL short near 102.9, whose first take-profit level was reached the following day.
- **2026-10-26** Macro view: US debt breaking 40 trillion and liquidity contraction analysis: Analyzing the backdrop of US debt breaking 40 trillion, the dollar index pulling back, midterm elections approaching and carrier deployments in the Middle East, the host believes high oil prices and USD liquidity contraction are deliberate actions, judges a sideways-to-downward adjustment as most probable, and suggests staying on the sidelines waiting for opportunities.
- **2026-10-27** BTC triangle convergence and 0.618 support analysis: Via a YouTube video, the host analyzed whether BTC's 0.618 direct support under the triangle convergence pattern would break through or break down again, while also flagging a falling wedge on ETH to watch for a rebound, and promoted the membership channel and study class.
Instruments tracked
BTC, ETH
Sources (in-site messages)
- [10-20 08:56 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1373408084487311581&message_id=1562026812350136333)
- [10-20 12:55 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1373408084487311581&message_id=1562086787789099241)
- [10-20 15:12 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1373408084487311581&message_id=1562121272589164657)
- [10-20 15:14 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1373408084487