Market swings await direction: a full analysis of Perdu's pl
The "Perdu" channel focuses on Bitcoin technical analysis and swing trading. The KOL tends to formulate clear long/short plans around key support/resistance zones (such as 82.5-83k, 90k, 77k) and marks stop-loss levels, showing strong discipline. The analysis style is cautious and pragmatic, emphasizing "don't chase bottoms, don't trade against the trend," and prioritizing capital protection. The market has recently been in violent oscillation, and the channel is focused on the rise and fall of the previous month's high, the battle over key zones, and the pattern of weekly highs and lows forming, while reminding traders to avoid emotional operations. The channel owner occasionally reduces activity while attending the ADE event in Amsterdam, and does interactive live streams on Twitch.
**Overall bias**: Cautious and flexible, discipline first
Viewpoint timeline for the past 7 days
- **2026-10-20** Market oscillating, formulating a plan to go long only after 83k is reclaimed: The KOL pointed out that the market remains highly volatile and decided to only go long after the price climbs back into the 82.5-83k zone. Holding the previous month's high is currently a positive signal; ideally, after reclaiming 83K, a swing long position toward 90k could be initiated, with the stop-loss set below the previous month's high.
- **2026-10-21** Bullish momentum stalled, KOL reduces activity due to ADE event: The KOL admitted to executing too early — the idea was correct but the timing was poor. Currently attending the ADE event in Amsterdam and needing to participate in multiple celebrations, so channel activity has decreased. The bullish leaders have been weakened this week.
- **2026-10-22** Encountered strong selling pressure, expecting the price to fall back to 77k: The market showed strong rejection; the KOL is bearish and expects the price to fall back to 77k soon. Noted that the top or bottom formed on Wednesday will most likely become the weekly high/low, reminding short sellers that they are relatively safe before 77k, and advised against bottom-fishing.
- **2026-10-22** Twitch live stream promotion, positioning as crypto trading livestream: The KOL posted a Twitch live stream link, positioning the channel as cryptocurrency livestream content with the theme "Sharpen Your Edge," focused on improving trading skills and engaging with the community in real time.
Sources (in-site messages)
- [10-20 11:55 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1378317751646556210&message_id=1562071857480605852)
- [10-21 15:43 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1378317751646556210&message_id=1562491500971954280)
- [10-22 07:20 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1378317751646556210&message_id=1562727249302528034)
- [10-22 07:20 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1378317751646556210&message_id=1562727278863982632)
- [10-22 11:06 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1378317751646556210&message_id=1562784181681922049)
- [10-22 11:06 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1378317751646556210&message_id=1562784188237750355)