BTC Target 85K: Steady Progress, LTC Long Entry Highlights 3
The Osbrah channel focuses on crypto-macro crossover analysis, covering technical tracking of coins such as BTC, LTC, and AAVE (value zones, EMAs, supply zones), while closely following US Treasury yields, CPI data, big tech earnings, and the impact of the AI narrative on markets. The channel emphasizes plan execution and risk management discipline, with every trade marked with entry, stop loss, take profit, and risk-reward ratio. Recent focus areas include confirmation of BTC upside targets, LTC long setups, and the transmission of tech stock selloffs and yield moves to the crypto market.
**Overall Bias**: Cautiously bullish, focused on risk control
Opinion Timeline (Past 7 Days)
- **2026-10-21** BTC bullish but cautious on opening new positions in turbulent zone: The channel believes BTC has room to move higher, holding to targets above $82,000 and near the supply zone at $85,000, but emphasizes that the market is currently in a turbulent zone and urges caution on opening new positions even with a bullish bias.
- **2026-10-21** LTC mentioned on livestream and a long was entered: The channel focused on LTC's price action during a livestream and went long. Since the price moved before it was posted to the tracker, the full setup was later published: entry 61.91, take profit 74.9, stop loss 58.36, risk-reward 3.66R.
- **2026-10-21** AAVE's EMA trend flip draws attention: The channel noted AAVE is flipping its exponential moving average trend, and later reiterated the idea: after a touch of the supply zone and a drop back below the top of the value zone, it would consider going short.
- **2026-10-21** Three big tech earnings beat expectations: The channel summarized that Meta revenue of $64.6 billion, Tesla revenue of $28.05 billion, and IBM revenue of $17.1 billion all beat expectations; Tesla did not sell any Bitcoin and still holds $972 million.
- **2026-10-22** US 10-year yield falls back to 5%: The 10-year Treasury yield fell back to 5.00% as the tech stock selloff deepened, its first time at that level since September 23. The channel reviewed earlier discussions, noting its view that yields would not decline due to policy intervention.
- **2026-10-22** CPI at 3.7% YoY triggers tech selloff: CPI came in at 3.7% year-over-year, up from 3.4% a year earlier. AI-narrative-related stocks were hit, dragging down the S&P 500 and Nasdaq. The channel analyzed that yields only move lower when the market prices in a genuine slowdown.
- **2026-10-23** AI slowdown pricing drives sharp yield drop: The 10-year Treasury yield fell below 5%, its largest single-day drop in three years. The channel believes the market has begun pricing in an AI growth slowdown, with hedge funds building large short positions according to Goldman Sachs data.
- **2026-10-23** Multiple index comparison charts reveal divergence: The channel published comparison charts of the Nasdaq vs. Dow, Russell 2000, Bitcoin, and META vs. Tesla post-earnings performance, used to help observe relative strength across different assets.
Assets of Focus
LTC, BTC, LINK
Sources (On-site Messages)
- [10-20 11:55 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1402701069703970996&message_id=1562071748197883945)
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- [10-21 11:36 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1402701069703970996&message_id=1562429315440840765)
- [10-21 11:36 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1402701069703970996&message_id=1562429343215394857)
- [10-21 12:29 View original message](/dashboard2?channel_id=1402701069703970996&message_id=1562442807002538004)
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