AI Computing Power Industry Chain Earnings Season Review: Be
"US Stock Investment Network" opens with pre-market stock index futures coverage, then delivers dense output on US individual stock earnings and investment bank research note interpretations, covering the AI computing power supply chain (Nvidia, TSMC, optical communications, memory/storage), semiconductor equipment, cloud computing and retail consumption sectors, along with StockWe big data signals, unusual options activity, and swing trade opportunity alerts. Its analysis style leans toward event-driven objective summarization, often listing bull/bear divergences and risk signals; recent focus has been on AI capital expenditure and financing pressure, earnings divergence during earnings season, short position changes, and risk-off sentiment.
**Overall stance**: Follows the AI boom but emphasizes risk
Viewpoint timeline over the past 7 days
- **2026-10-19** TSMC, Marvell and ASML strengthened on AI demand: reports indicated Samsung will adopt TSMC's 3-nanometer process to produce NVHBM base chips for Nvidia; Marvell drove strength across the optical communications sector; Bernstein calculated that ASML's backlog could hit a record high, with EUV order visibility extending to 2028.
- **2026-10-20** CoreWeave bond discounts raise questions about the AI compute leasing model: some CRWV bonds fell to roughly 80% of face value, with new buyers demanding nearly 16% annualized yields; the channel argued that the most dangerous thing is not orders but cash flow, and listed three risk signals — bond yields, project financing costs, and capital expenditure.
- **2026-10-21** Super Micro Computer's forward revenue beats expectations, Micron labor dispute shows progress: SMCI disclosed preliminary quarterly results early, with revenue guidance far exceeding expectations, confirming robust AI server demand; the union at Micron's Taichung plant reached an agreement with the company and withdrew from the originally scheduled mediation, reducing the risk of production disruption.
- **2026-10-22** Risk-off sentiment heats up, Meta's heavy capital expenditure raises credit concerns: Brent crude rose over 2%, with funds flooding into oil prices, gold and US Treasuries; Meta's future leasing and contract spending is about $825 billion, with credit risk indicators hitting record highs; TTMI plunged 22% on expansion spending and cash flow pressure.
- **2026-10-23** Moderna vaccine data falls short of expectations, Nebius becomes a key short target: full trial data confirmed efficacy but failed to meet Wall Street's high expectations; NBIS short interest rose to 20% of shares outstanding, with shorts sitting on $6 billion in paper profits this month, as the market re-examines the funding pressure behind compute expansion models.
- **2026-10-25** Goldman Sachs: short leverage at the 99th percentile over five years, hedge funds deleveraging: US equities saw a third consecutive week of net selling, with TMT net outflows of about $20 billion over two weeks; funds made heavy purchases of consumer staples and real estate, and Goldman recommended selectively overweighting power, hyperscale cloud providers, inference and cybersecurity.
- **2026-10-26** iPhone Duo inner screen white line issue sparks bearish discussion on Apple: the channel discussed the limited room for shorting Apple and the risks of put options, and raised the question of whether the failure is concentrated in specific production line batches — whether it is an assembly process issue or involves structural interference risk — which remains to be observed.
Sources (on-site messages)
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About this channel
The "US Stock Investment Network Teaching Channel" is the channel archive page for "US Stock Investment Network" on the site. This page compiles the key points of this channel's public posts over the past 7 days, making it easy to trace the evolution of its viewpoints.